Name: A Recipe for Disappointment: The Winner's Curse in Policy Trials
Uploaded: 2026-06-22T11:57:35.118Z
Duration: 282 s
Description: Adrian Simpson explains why selecting the best-looking intervention from a noisy evidence set leads to systematic overestimation — the winner's curse in…

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A Recipe for Disappointment: The Winner's Curse in Policy Tr...

4:42 · 6/22/2026

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